Here the main card of the UFC on FOX 18 event is analyzed.
This event consist on four fights as follows:
1) Anthony Johnson(#2) 20-5-0(W-L-D) Vs Ryan Bader (#4) 21-4-0 (W-L-D)
This is a very interesting fight since the winner will be the next title contender.
In the main fight Anthony Johnson is the favorite (payout 1.25) and Bader is the underdog (payout 3.80). This means that the Johnson has a 80% of probability to win the figth. However, it should be notice that both fighters have similar experience and Bader is ready to show its power and resistance.
We think that if the fight last the 5 rounds Bader has a very good chance to win. But Johnson can finish all in one single and overwhelming punch.
Our pick: Bader as future title contender.
2) Josh Barnett (#8) 34-7-0(W-L-D) Vs Ben Rothwell (#7) 35-9-0(W-L-D)
The odds are for Barnett (1.67), they sub-estimate Rothwell punches (2.42).
This will be a very closed fight, since Barnnet has the grappling and Rothwell the power punch.
we think the winning probability is slightly on Barnett’s side.
Our pick: Barnett by submission.
3) Iuri Alcantara (#14) 32-6-0(W-L-D) Vs Jimmie Rivera 18-1-0(W-L-D)
Alcantara has the experience but he is not the favorite (2.35). However, this is a very close fight, and if they fight all rounds there is a big chance for Rivera to win by decision.
Both are strong and with good chances to win.
Our pick: Rivera by decision.
4) Sage Northcutt 7-0-0(W-L-D) Vs Bryan Barberena 10-1-0(W-L-D)
Northcurr is unbeaten, and both have with very different fighting styles.
Our pick: Northcutt by KO.
As soon as more information or news about the event appears, our picks will be updated.
You can watch this event in the UFC.TV